Sacramento vs. Golden State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Thursday, January 25, 2024

Betsperts Media & Technology

bet365 Sportsbook Promo
$1,000 First Bet Safety Net or Bet $5, Get $150
FanDuel Promo Code
Bet $5, Get $150 in bonus bets if your bet WINS!
Caesars Sportsbook Promo Code
Claim a First Bet on Caesars up to $1,000!
DraftKings Promo Code
Up to $300 in bonus bets!
BetMGM Sportsbook Promo
$1,500 First Bet Offer

Stephen Curry and the Golden State Warriors (19-22) face De’Aaron Fox and the Sacramento Kings (24-18) on January 25, 2024 at Chase Center on TNT.

The Kings are a slight 2-point favorite against the Warriors. The over/under for the game is set at 243.5.

Kings vs. Warriors Odds

Point Spread for Kings vs. Warriors

The spread for this matchup is set at 2 points, with sportsbooks listing the Kings as the favorite.

Sacramento vs. Golden State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Sacramento has -130 odds to win the game, while Golden State is listed at +110 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 243.5 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Thursday, January 25, 2024 at 10:00 PM ET
  • Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
  • TV: TNT

Kings vs. Warriors Betting Trends

The Kings have covered the spread 23 times over 42 games with a set spread. Sacramento has been the favorite in 31 games this season and won 19 (61.3%) of those contests. Kings games have gone over the total 20 times out of 41 chances this season.

The Warriors are 19-21-1 against the spread this season. Golden State has been chosen as underdogs in 17 games this year and has walked away with the win four times (23.5%) in those games. Games involving the Warriors have hit the over 25 times this year.

Kings vs. Warriors Key Players to Watch

Kings

Domantas Sabonis posts 19.9 points, 12.8 boards and 7.9 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.5 blocks. Fox averages 27.4 points, 4.1 boards and 5.7 assists per contest, shooting 46.7% from the floor and 39.6% from beyond the arc, with 3.2 made 3-pointers per game (eighth in NBA). Malik Monk’s numbers on the season are 14.9 points, 2.6 boards and 5.5 assists per contest, shooting 43.4% from the floor and 38.5% from beyond the arc, with 2.4 made 3-pointers per contest. Keegan Murray averages 16.1 points, 5.6 boards and 1.6 assists per contest, shooting 46.8% from the floor and 36.5% from beyond the arc, with 2.4 made 3-pointers per game.

Warriors

Curry averages 26.7 points, 4.2 boards and 5.0 assists, making 44.6% of his shots from the field and 40.1% from beyond the arc, with 4.5 triples per contest (first in league). Klay Thompson contributes with 17.5 points per game, plus 3.5 boards and 2.4 assists. The Warriors get 13.9 points per game from Jonathan Kuminga, plus 4.4 boards and 1.5 assists. Dario Saric averages 10.5 points, 5.6 boards and 2.4 assists, making 48.4% of his shots from the floor and 40.1% from 3-point range, with 1.5 treys per game.

What you need to know about the Kings

On offense, the Kings are averaging 118.3 points per game (seventh-ranked in league). They are ceding 117.7 points per contest on defense (20th-ranked). With 43.7 boards per game, the Kings rank 13th in the NBA. They give up 43.1 rebounds per contest, which ranks 14th in the league. The Kings have been one of the top teams in the league in terms of assists, as they are delivering 28.7 per game (fifth-best in NBA).

When playing at home, Sacramento is scoring 6.2 more points per game (121.3) than it is on the road (115.1). Sacramento ranks third-best in the NBA by sinking 15.0 treys per game. In terms of three-point percentage, it ranks 12th in the league at 37.1%. Sacramento ranks 21st in the NBA by allowing 13.4 three-pointers per game, but it is allowing a 39.0% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, which ranks second-worst in the league.

The Kings have a 6-4 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall in their past 10 games. Four of Sacramento’s past 10 contests have hit the over. In their last 10 games, the Kings have been putting up 122.2 points per game, an average that’s slightly higher than the 118.3 they’ve scored over the course of the 2023-24 season. Sacramento’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (121.3) is 3.6 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (117.7).

What you need to know about the Warriors

On offense the Warriors are the 10th-ranked team in the NBA (117.6 points per game). On defense they are 22nd (118.0 points conceded per game). Golden State is the fourth-best squad in the league in rebounds per game (46.1) and is ranked 12th in rebounds conceded (43.0). At 28.1 assists per game, the Warriors are sixth in the league.

The Warriors score 116.6 points per game at home, and 118.9 away. Beyond the arc, the Warriors are fourth-best in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (14.8). They are 12th in 3-point percentage at 37.1%. In 2023-24, Golden State is 14th in the NBA in 3-pointers allowed (13.0 per game) and ninth in defensive 3-point percentage (35.8%).

The Warriors are 5-5 against the spread and 4-6 overall in their last 10 games. In its past 10 games, Golden State has hit the over eight times. Over its last 10 games, Golden State is scoring 120.5 points per contest, 2.9 more than its season average (117.6). The Warriors are ceding 124.8 points per game in their past 10 games, compared to their season average of 118.0 points allowed.

Kings vs. Warriors Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Warriors, and we predict that Warriors will cover the spread (Kings -2). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 243.5 points.

How to bet Kings vs. Warriors

You can bet on Sacramento vs. Golden State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Sacramento vs. Golden State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

bet365 Sportsbook Promo
$1,000 First Bet Safety Net or Bet $5, Get $150
FanDuel Promo Code
Bet $5, Get $150 in bonus bets if your bet WINS!
Caesars Sportsbook Promo Code
Claim a First Bet on Caesars up to $1,000!
DraftKings Promo Code
Up to $300 in bonus bets!
BetMGM Sportsbook Promo
$1,500 First Bet Offer

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

Deals of the Day

See All