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The Miami Heat (24-21) will attempt to snap a five-game losing streak when visiting the New York Knicks (28-17) on January 27, 2024 at Madison Square Garden.
The Knicks take the court as 5-point favorites against the Heat. The game’s point total is set at 215.5.
Knicks vs. Heat Odds
Point Spread for Knicks vs. Heat
The spread for this matchup is set at 5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Knicks as the favorite.
New York vs. Miami Moneyline
As for the moneyline, New York has -205 odds to win the game, while Miami is listed at +170 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 215.5 points.
Game Time and How to Watch
- When: Saturday, January 27, 2024 at 3:00 PM ET
- Where: Madison Square Garden in New York City, New York
- TV: ABC
Knicks vs. Heat Betting Trends
The Knicks have covered the spread in a matchup 25 times this season (25-18-2). This season, New York has won 20 out of the 26 games, or 76.9%, in which it has been favored. Games involving the Knicks have hit the over 19 times this season.
The Heat have covered the spread 19 times this season (19-24-2). Miami has been victorious in six, or 31.6%, of the 19 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season. This season, Heat games have hit the over 19 times.
Knicks vs. Heat Key Players to Watch
Knicks
Julius Randle’s numbers for the season are 24.1 points, 5.0 assists and 9.2 boards per contest. Jalen Brunson averages 26.5 points, 3.8 boards and 6.4 assists per contest, shooting 47.8% from the field and 42.4% from beyond the arc, with 2.8 made 3-pointers per game. Isaiah Hartenstein puts up 6.6 points, 8.5 boards and 2.0 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.2 steals and 1.1 blocks. Donte DiVincenzo puts up 11.4 points, 3.2 boards and 2.2 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.3 blocks.
Heat
Bam Adebayo gets the Heat 21.3 points, 10.4 boards and 4.3 assists per game. He also averages 1.1 steals and 1.0 block. Terry Rozier gets 23.2 points, 3.9 boards and 6.6 assists per contest, plus 1.1 steals and 0.4 blocks. Jimmy Butler provides the Heat 20.7 points, 4.9 boards and 4.4 assists per game, plus 1.2 steals and 0.3 blocks. The Heat receive 14.0 points, 3.9 boards and 2.7 assists per game from Jaime Jaquez Jr..
What you need to know about the Knicks
The Knicks sport a top-five defense this year, ranking second-best in the league with 109.8 points allowed per game. Offensively, they rank 15th with 115.2 points scored per contest. The Knicks have been thriving in terms of rebounding this year, ranking third-best in the NBA in boards per game (46.2) and best in rebounds allowed per contest (40.5). The Knicks are averaging only 24.0 assists per game, which ranks second-worst in the league.
New York is scoring 114.3 points per game at home. In road games, it is faring better on offense, averaging 115.9 points per contest. New York is draining 13.2 three-pointers per game (10th-ranked in league). It sports a 37.2% shooting percentage (12th-ranked) from downtown. New York is allowing 12.6 threes per game (12th-ranked in league). It is allowing opposing teams to shoot 36.0% (12th-ranked) from beyond the arc.
The Knicks have a 7-3 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall over their last 10 games. In its past 10 contests, New York has gone over the total once. The Knicks have seen a downturn in scoring lately, putting up 113.5 points per game in their last 10 contests, 1.7 points fewer than the 115.2 they’ve scored this season. New York has been much improved on the defensive end of the floor of late, giving up 99.9 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 109.8 it has surrendered per game this season.
What you need to know about the Heat
On offense, the Heat are the fourth-worst team in the NBA (110.5 points per game). On defense, they are seventh (111.3 points conceded per game). Miami is the fifth-worst team in the league in rebounds per game (41.4) and 10th in rebounds allowed (42.7). The Heat are 21st in the NBA in assists (25.6 per game) in 2023-24.
The Heat are putting up more points at home (114.0 per game) than away (107.2). Beyond the arc, the Heat are 16th in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (12.5). They are ninth in 3-point percentage at 37.7%. In 2023-24, Miami is 21st in the league in 3-pointers allowed (13.5 per game) and 16th in defensive 3-point percentage (36.8%).
The Heat have gone 4-6 over their last 10 games, with a 3-6-1 record against the spread during that span. In its past 10 games, Miami has gone over the total three times. Miami is averaging 103.7 points per contest in its previous 10 games, which is 6.8 fewer points than its average for the season (110.5). While the Heat are ceding 111.3 points per game in 2023-24, they have bettered that mark over their past 10 games, allowing 110.2 points per contest.
Knicks vs. Heat Prediction & Pick
Our pick to win this matchup is Knicks, and we expect that Knicks will cover the spread (Knicks -5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 215.5 points.
How to bet Knicks vs. Heat
You can bet on New York vs. Miami at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.
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