South Alabama vs. Southern Miss Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 17, 2023

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Sun Belt foes will clash when the South Alabama Jaguars (3-3) face the Southern Miss Golden Eagles (1-5).

South Alabama vs. Southern Miss Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 18.5 points, with bookmakers listing South Alabama as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, South Alabama has -1096 odds to pick up the win, while Southern Miss is listed at +655 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 51 points.

Game Info

How to Watch South Alabama vs. Southern Miss Live?

  • Game Day: Tuesday, October 17, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: Mobile, Alabama
  • Stadium: Hancock Whitney Stadium

Betting Preview

South Alabama

South Alabama ranks 53rd in total offense (414.8 yards per game) and 42nd in total defense (339.7 yards allowed per game) this season. South Alabama is averaging 32.2 points per game on offense (44th in the FBS), and ranks 46th on defense with 22.2 points allowed per game. South Alabama ranks 48th in pass offense (257.2 passing yards per game) and 67th in pass defense (223.5 passing yards allowed per game) this season. On offense, South Alabama ranks 62nd in the FBS with 157.7 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defensive unit ranks 31st in rushing yards allowed per contest (116.2). Offensively, South Alabama has been a top-25 unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking 22nd-best in the FBS by averaging a 47% third-down percentage. The defense ranks 79th on defense (39.2% third-down conversion rate allowed). South Alabama ranks 40th in college football with a +2 turnover margin after forcing 10 turnovers (35th in the FBS) and committing eight (64th in the FBS).

Southern Miss

In terms of total offense, Southern Miss ranks 93rd in the FBS (357.7 total yards per game) and 92nd defensively (395.7 total yards allowed per game). Southern Miss ranks 96th in points per game (23.7), but it has been less productive on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 12th-worst in the FBS with 35.3 points ceded per contest. With 213.8 passing yards per game on offense, Southern Miss ranks 86th in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 38th, giving up 207.2 passing yards per contest. Southern Miss’ defense has been bottom-25 in run defense this season, allowing 188.5 rushing yards per game, which ranks 16th-worst in the FBS. Offensively, it ranks 82nd with 143.8 rushing yards per contest. In terms of third-down efficiency, Southern Miss ranks 84th in the FBS (38.3% third-down conversion rate) and 63rd on defense (38% third-down rate allowed). Southern Miss has a 0 turnover margin this season, which ranks 61st in the FBS.

South Alabama vs. Southern Miss Betting Analysis

South Alabama Betting Insights

South Alabama has put together a record of 2-4-0 against the spread this season. South Alabama has not covered the spread when they are at least 18.5-point favorites (0-1). South Alabama games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under four times this season. The Jaguars have been favored on the moneyline three total times this season. They’ve gone 2-1 in those games. The Jaguars have played as a moneyline favorite of -1096 or shorter in just one game this season, which they won.

Southern Miss Betting Insights

Southern Miss has covered the spread one time this season (1-5-0). Southern Miss has yet to cover a spread (0-1) when it is at least 18.5-point underdogs. This season, Southern Miss games have hit the over four times. The Golden Eagles have been listed as the underdog three times this season and have failed to win any of those games. The Golden Eagles have played as an underdog of +655 or more once this season and lost that game.

South Alabama vs. Southern Miss Against The Spread & Betting Records

South Alabama

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 50.9 53.3 49.8
Implied Total AVG 31.0 36.5 28.3
ATS Record 2-4-0 0-2-0 2-2-0
Over/Under Record 4-2-0 1-1-0 3-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 1-1 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-2 0-0 1-2

Southern Miss

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 51.9 52.8 50.3
Implied Total AVG 32.7 31.8 34.5
ATS Record 1-5-0 1-3-0 0-2-0
Over/Under Record 4-2-0 2-2-0 2-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-2 1-1 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-3 0-2 0-1

Players to Watch

South Alabama

  • With 39 receptions for 723 yards and six touchdowns, Caullin Lacy has been an important part of the Jaguars’ air attack in 2023.
  • As a runner, La’Damian Webb has accumulated 476 rushing yards with eight rushing touchdowns in six games.
  • Webb has 12 receptions (two per game) for 66 yards (11 per game) and zero touchdowns in six games for the Jaguars.
  • In six games for the Jaguars, Carter Bradley has put up 1,456 yards (242.7 yards per game) with 11 touchdowns, five interceptions and a 65.7% completion percentage.
  • Kentrel Bullock has scampered for 285 yards (4.8 yards per carry) and two touchdowns as part of the Jaguars’ ground attack.
  • Bullock has contributed 10 receptions on zero targets for 84 yards and one touchdown as a receiver in 2023.
  • The Jaguars’ defense has been aided by Trey Kiser, who has played six games and collected 38 tackles and four TFL.
  • With two interceptions to go with 30 tackles and three passes defended in six games, Jaden Voisin has been a significant piece of the Jaguars’ defensive unit in 2023.
  • With 30 tackles, three TFL, and one sack in six games, Quentin Wilfawn has been a significant contributor to the Jaguars’ defense in 2023.
  • With one TFL and 36 tackles, James Miller has helped propel the Jaguars’ defense over six games.

Southern Miss

  • In six games, Billy Wiles has thrown for 1,254 yards (209 per game), with seven touchdowns and five interceptions, and a completion percentage of 53%.
  • On the ground, Frank Gore Jr. has scored four touchdowns and accumulated 397 yards (66.2 per game).
  • Also, Gore Jr. has 10 catches for 50 yards and one touchdown.
  • In six games, Jakarius Caston has 21 receptions for 334 yards (55.7 per game) and three touchdowns.
  • In six games, Rodrigues Clark has rushed for 356 yards (59.3 per game) and two TDs.
  • Jay Stanley has registered two interceptions to go with 29 tackles and two passes defended in six games for the Golden Eagles.
  • Dylan Lawrence has been doing his part on defense, delivering 31 tackles and one sack for the Golden Eagles.
  • Jalil Clemons has three sacks to go with four TFL and 15 tackles in five games.
  • On defense, Jalen Williams has supplied 23 tackles and one TFL in five games.

South Alabama vs. Southern Miss Predictions and Pick

South Alabama vs. Southern Miss betting card

  • Pick ATS:

    South Alabama (-18.5)

  • Pick OU: Over (51)

How to Bet on South Alabama vs. Southern Miss

You can bet on South Alabama vs. Southern Miss at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s South Alabama vs. Southern Miss picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this contest is South Alabama, and we expect that South Alabama will cover the spread (South Alabama -18.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 51 points.

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WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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