Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 26, 2023

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The Georgia Southern Eagles (5-2) have a Sun Belt matchup versus the Georgia State Panthers (6-1).

Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State Odds

Point Spread

The matchup is currently a pick ’em.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Georgia Southern has -114 odds to pick up the win, while Georgia State is listed at -108 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 62.5 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State Live?

  • Game Day: Thursday, October 26, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: Statesboro, Georgia
  • Stadium: Allen E. Paulson Stadium

Betting Preview

Georgia Southern

Georgia Southern owns the 71st-ranked defense this season (374.1 yards allowed per game), and has been more effective offensively, ranking 21st-best with a tally of 450.1 yards per game. Georgia Southern is totaling 32.3 points per game on offense, which ranks them 41st in the FBS. On the other side of the ball, the defense ranks 61st, surrendering 24.3 points per game. While Georgia Southern ranks 22nd-worst in the FBS in passing defense with 251.7 passing yards allowed per game, it’s been a different story on the other side of the ball, as the offensive unit ranks 12th-best in the FBS (318.7 passing yards per game). Georgia Southern is totaling 131.4 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 99th in the FBS. The team’s defensive unit ranks 39th, allowing 122.4 rushing yards per game. Georgia Southern has been a tough matchup for opposing teams on third down, ranking top-25 in both third-down offense (11th-best with a 50.5% third-down percentage) and third-down defense (18th-best with a 30.8% third-down percentage allowed) this year. With 12 forced turnovers (17th in the FBS) against 15 turnovers committed (129th in the FBS), Georgia Southern’s -3-3 turnover margin ranks 95th in college football.

Georgia State

Georgia State is putting up 410.7 total yards per game on offense this season (53rd-ranked). Meanwhile, it is allowing 394.6 total yards per contest (91st-ranked). In terms of points scored Georgia State ranks 47th in the FBS (30.9 points per game), and it is 52nd defensively (22.9 points allowed per game). Georgia State has been struggling to stop the pass, ranking 12th-worst with 275.4 passing yards surrendered per game. It has been more effective on the other side of the ball, generating 233.6 passing yards per contest (62nd-ranked). With 177.1 rushing yards per game on offense, Georgia State ranks 41st in the FBS. On defense it ranks 33rd, surrendering 119.1 rushing yards per game. On the defensive side of the ball, Georgia State is a bottom-25 unit on third down, surrendering a 45.4% third-down conversion rate (17th-worst). On the bright side, it is dominating on offense, putting up a 45.4% third-down rate (ninth-best). Georgia State owns a top-25 turnover margin this season, ranking 19th-best at +5.

Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State Betting Analysis

Georgia Southern Betting Insights

Georgia Southern has covered the spread three times over seven games with a set spread. In games it is played as 0-point favorites or more, Georgia Southern has an ATS record of 3-1-1. This season, Georgia Southern games have hit the over twice. The Eagles have yet to lose as the moneyline favorite this season, going 4-0. The Eagles have played four times as a moneyline favorite with odds of -114 or shorter, and claimed a victory in each game.

Georgia State Betting Insights

Georgia State has put together a record of 5-2-0 against the spread this season. In games it has played as 0-point underdogs or more, Georgia State has a perfect ATS record of 2-0. This year, three Georgia State games have gone over the point total. The Panthers have won both games they’ve played as underdogs this season. The Panthers are undefeated in two games this season when they’re the underdog by -108 or more on the moneyline.

Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State Against The Spread & Betting Records

Georgia Southern

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 61.4 61.1 61.7
Implied Total AVG 37.7 38.8 36.3
ATS Record 3-3-1 2-1-1 1-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-5-0 2-2-0 0-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-0 3-0 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-0 0-2

Georgia State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 56.6 55.1 58.5
Implied Total AVG 31.3 31.0 31.7
ATS Record 5-2-0 2-2-0 3-0-0
Over/Under Record 3-4-0 2-2-0 1-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-1 3-1 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-0 0-0 2-0

Players to Watch

Georgia Southern

  • In addition to his 2,122 passing yards and 66.6% completion percentage this year, Davis Brin has tallied 14 touchdowns against 11 interceptions.
  • Jalen White has put up 475 rushing yards (5.9 yards per carry) and five touchdowns in six games for the Eagles.
  • The Eagles’ passing game has been helped by the receiving ability of White, who has reeled in 12 balls (on zero targets) for 42 yards and one touchdown.
  • In seven games, Khaleb Hood has turned zero targets into 57 catches, 590 yards and three touchdowns for the Eagles.
  • Derwin Burgess Jr. has been targeted zero times for 44 catches, 466 yards and four touchdowns in seven games.
  • As part of the Eagles’ defense, Marques Watson-Trent has compiled 48 tackles, three TFL, two sacks, and one interception in seven games.
  • As part of the Eagles’ defensive unit, Khadry Jackson has recorded one sack to go with two TFL, 23 tackles, and one interception in six games.
  • TJ Smith has suited up for seven games, recording 23 tackles and two interceptions for the Eagles.
  • With 19 tackles and one interception, Tyrell Davis has helped carry the Eagles’ defense over seven games.

Georgia State

  • Darren Grainger has passed for 1,632 yards (233.1 per game), completing 69.5% of his throws, with 10 touchdowns and two interceptions in seven games.
  • Grainger also has rushed for 368 yards and five TDs.
  • Marcus Carroll has run for 852 yards (121.7 per game) and 10 touchdowns in seven games.
  • Carroll also has 13 catches for 146 yards and zero TDs.
  • In the passing game, Robert Lewis has scored five TDs, hauling in 34 balls for 561 yards (80.1 per game).
  • In seven games, Tailique Williams has 27 catches for 478 yards (68.3 per game) and three touchdowns.
  • As a key defensive contributor, the Panthers’ Jontrey Hunter has amassed 55 tackles and one TFL in seven games.
  • On defense, Gavin Pringle has helped lead the way with 25 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and three interceptions in seven games.
  • In seven games for the Panthers, Jeremiah Johnson has amassed 39 tackles, two TFL, and one sack.
  • The Panthers’ Justin Abraham has delivered 39 tackles, three TFL, and one sack in seven games.

Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State Predictions and Pick

Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State betting card

  • Pick ATS:

    Georgia State (+0)

  • Pick OU: Under (62.5)

How to Bet on Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State

You can bet on Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this contest is Georgia State, and we expect that Georgia State will cover the spread (pick ’em). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 62.5 points.

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WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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