UCSD vs. UC Davis Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Thursday, March 7, 2024

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The UCSD Tritons (20-10, 14-4 Big West) look to continue a nine-game home winning run when hosting the UC Davis Aggies (17-12, 12-6 Big West) on Thursday, March 7, 2024 at 10:00 PM ET.

Thursday’s matchup between the Tritons and the Aggies sees the Tritons as a strong, 6.5-point favorite. The over/under for the matchup is 140.5.

UCSD vs. UC Davis Odds

Point Spread for UCSD vs. UC Davis

The spread for this matchup is set at 6.5 points, with oddsmakers listing UCSD as the favorite.

UCSD vs. UC Davis Moneyline

As for the moneyline, UCSD has -290 odds to pick up the win, while UC Davis is listed at +235 to claim victory.

UCSD vs. UC Davis Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 140.5 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 7, 2024
  • Game Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: San Diego, California
  • Arena: LionTree Arena

UCSD vs. UC Davis Betting Trends

In UCSD’s 28 games this year, it has 18 wins against the spread. The Tritons have come away with 15 wins in the 18 contests they have been listed as the moneyline favorites in this season. UCSD’s games this year have gone over the total in 13 out of 27 opportunities (48.1%).

UC Davis has played 27 games, with 13 wins against the spread. The Aggies have been the moneyline underdog nine total times this season. They’ve finished 4-5 in those games. UC Davis’ games this season have gone over the point total 10 times in 27 opportunities (37%).

UCSD vs. UC Davis Key Players to Watch

UCSD

Bryce Pope posts 18.0 points and 1.9 assists per contest — both team highs. He is also averaging 4.0 rebounds, shooting 41.8% from the floor and 31.4% from beyond the arc with 2.1 made 3-pointers per contest. Aniwaniwa Tait-jones is tops on his team in rebounds per game (5.7), and also averages 13.2 points and 2.9 assists. At the other end, he delivers 1.1 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Hayden Gray puts up a team-leading 3.7 assists per contest. He is also putting up 8.9 points and 4.2 rebounds, shooting 46.1% from the floor. F. Nwaokorie puts up 11.0 points, 5.2 rebounds and 0.8 assists per game, shooting 43.3% from the field and 32.6% from beyond the arc with 1.6 made 3-pointers per game.

UC Davis

Elijah Pepper is putting up a team-leading 20.4 points per game. And he is delivering 4.5 rebounds and 2.0 assists, making 41.1% of his shots from the field and 36.5% from beyond the arc, with 3.0 triples per contest. Ty Johnson is the Aggies’ top assist man (3.4 per game), and he puts up 18.1 points and 3.7 rebounds. Kane Milling gets the Aggies 9.4 points, 3.6 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game. He also posts 0.8 steals and 0.5 blocked shots. Niko Rocak tops the Aggies in rebounding (5.3 per game), and posts 5.6 points and 0.9 assists. He also delivers 0.9 steals and 1.4 blocked shots.

What you need to know about the UCSD Tritons

UCSD has put together a 12-6-0 conference record against the spread this season. So far this year, the Tritons are posting 76.7 points per game (87th-ranked in college basketball) and allowing 68.5 points per contest (84th-ranked). UCSD has been thriving when it comes to rebounding this season, ranking best in college basketball in boards per game () and best in boards allowed per contest ().

The Tritons are averaging 80.1 points per game this season when playing at home, which is 5.0 more points than they’re averaging in away games (75.1). So far this year, UCSD is draining 8.7 threes per game (59th-ranked in college basketball) and is shooting 35.0% (126th-ranked) from beyond the arc. With 6.0 treys conceded per game, the Tritons are 61st in the nation. They are giving up a 33.0% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks 126th in college basketball.

The Tritons have gone 7-3 over their past 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span. Six of UCSD’s past 10 contests have hit the over. UCSD’s offense has been improved over its last 10 games, racking up 77.9 points per contest compared to the 76.7 it has averaged this year. UCSD has been less stingy on the defensive side of the ball lately, allowing 70.7 points per game during its past 10 contests compared to the 68.5 points per game its opponents are averaging on the 2023-24 season.

What you need to know about the UC Davis Aggies

In UC Davis’ 18 chances this season in Big West action, the combined scoring has gone over the point total seven times. The Aggies score 70.9 points per game and give up 67.8, ranking them 263rd in the country on offense and 69th on defense. On the boards, UC Davis is best in the country in rebounds ( per game). It is best in rebounds conceded ( per game).

The Aggies score 72.6 points per game at home, and 68.8 on the road. At 6.7 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 33.4% from downtown, UC Davis is 246th and 216th in the country, respectively, in those categories. The Aggies are the 24th-best squad in college basketball in 3-pointers conceded (5.6 per game) and 119th in 3-point percentage defensively (32.9%).

The Aggies have gone 5-5 in their past 10 games, with a 3-7 record against the spread during that span. Three of UC Davis’ last 10 contests have hit the over. UC Davis is posting 67.0 points per game over its last 10 games, which is 3.9 fewer points than its average for the season (70.9). The Aggies are giving up 70.6 points per game over their last 10 games, which is 2.8 more points than they are allowing for the season (67.8).

UCSD vs. UC Davis Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is UCSD, and we predict that UCSD will cover the spread (UCSD -6.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 140.5 points.

How to bet UCSD vs. UC Davis

You can bet on UCSD vs. UC Davis at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s UCSD vs. UC Davis picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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